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October Inflation Runs Hotter Than Expected as Shelter and Food Prices Jump
Consumer prices rose 0.4% in the first inflation report since the midterms, raising the odds of a December rate hike.
Filed November 10, 2026 · 📍 DC 20212
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Key points
- CPI rose 0.4% in October, above forecasts, after 0.6% in September
- Shelter and food led the increase
- No year-over-year figure: last year's shutdown erased the comparison
Prices kept climbing in October, and a little faster than Wall Street expected.
The consumer price index rose 0.4% from September, the Labor Department said Tuesday, as shelter and food prices jumped [1]. The increase was slightly above forecasts but below September's 0.6% rise [2].
There is a hole in the data. The Bureau of Labor Statistics could not say how much prices rose over the past year, because last year's government shutdown wiped out the comparison month [3].
It was the first inflation report since midterm elections that hinged on affordability [4], and it lands with the Federal Reserve already leaning toward another rate increase. CBS News reported the hotter reading raised expectations of a hike at the Fed's December meeting [5].
For families, the numbers confirm what the grocery receipt already says. Rent and food, the two bills nobody can skip, are still going up.
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